Russia would either play no role in an Iranian attack campaign or only conduct information operations to support Iran. Russia withholds support for Iranian-backed attacks on US forces.The list does not, however, cover all the potential avenues for Russo-Iranian cooperation against the United States in Syria. The hypotheses are listed in order of least to greatest Russian involvement in the campaign. CTP is considering several hypotheses about how Russia would interact with an Iranian-backed campaign against US forces in Syria. ĬTP previously reported that Iranian and Russian military officials met to discuss expelling the United States from Syria, which may indicate Russia’s intent to facilitate Iranian-backed attacks on US forces. IRGC Quds Force Commander Brigadier General Esmail Ghaani visited the center in 2021, for instance. High-ranking Iranian officials frequent the Nasr Center for meetings, which indicates that it is linked to the Iranian regime and IRGC. ![]() This reporting is consistent with previous reports that Iranian and Iranian-backed leaders have trained local Syrians to attack US forces with IEDs and explosively formed penetrators (EFPs). CTP previously reported on an Iranian-backed Syrian militia leader offering 300,000 SYPs to locals in Deir ez Zor Province to target US patrols with improvised explosive devices (IEDs). The Nasr Center is offering new recruits between 700,000 and one million Syrian Pounds (SYPs). He also indicated that the recruits would conduct unspecified military operations against US and SDF forces. The head of the Iranian Nasr Center in Deir ez Zor City asked local militia leaders to recruit informants to collect intelligence on US forces and SDF leaders on June 8, according to local anti-Syrian regime outlet Eye of Euphrates. This reporting supports CTP’s assessment that Iran may be preparing to direct proxy attacks against US forces in Syria. CTP will update and refine our assessments of these campaigns over time and in future updates.Īn IRGC Quds Force-affiliated recruitment center in Deir ez Zor City is recruiting Syrians for counter-US operations in Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) territory. This section examines some of the many campaigns that Iran is pursuing to achieve this strategic objective. This section covers Iranian efforts to consolidate and expand Tehran’s economic, military, and political influence throughout the Levant and especially in Syria. CTP previously reported that Iranian and Russian military officials met to discuss expelling the United States from Syria, which may indicate Russia’s intent to facilitate Iranian-backed attacks on US forces.An IRGC Quds Force-affiliated recruitment center in Deir ez Zor City is recruiting Syrians for counter-US operations in Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) territory. ![]() It also shows developments in Syria that jeopardize regional stability and pose threats to US forces and interests, including Iranian and Iranian-backed militia positions. The map depicts events in Iran that affect the stability of the Iranian regime, namely anti-regime protests and reported poisoning incidents. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) with support from the Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute is launching a new interactive map of Iran and the Middle East. To receive Iran Updates via email, please subscribe here. The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute with support from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) provides these upda tes Monday through Friday. It also provides insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities abroad that undermine regional stability and threaten US forces and interests. This update covers political, military, and economic events and trends that affect the stability and decision-making of the Iranian regime. The Iran Update aims to inform national security policy by providing timely, relevant, and independent open-source analysis of developments pertaining to Iran and its Axis of Resistance.
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